In this study, we predict uptake of the COVID-19 vaccine at unprecedented spatial resolution across the UK using a large-scale survey of over 17,000 individuals.
Findings
Although the majority of the UK population would likely take the vaccine, there is substantial heterogeneity in uptake intent across the UK. Large urban areas, including London and North West England, females, Black or Black British ethnicities, and Polish-speakers are among the least accepting. This study helps identify areas and socio-demographic groups where vaccination levels may not reach those levels required for herd immunity. Identifying clusters of non-vaccinators is extremely important in the context of achieving herd immunity as vaccination “cold-spots” can amplify epidemic spread and disproportionately increase vaccination levels required for herd protection.
Acceptance
If a new coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine became available, would you accept the vaccine for yourself? “Unsure” encompasses responses “Unsure Yes” and “Unsure No.”
Gender
If a new coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine became available, would you accept the vaccine for yourself? “Unsure” encompasses responses “Unsure Yes” and “Unsure No.”
Age
If a new coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine became available, would you accept the vaccine for yourself? “Unsure” encompasses responses “Unsure Yes” and “Unsure No.”
Education
If a new coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine became available, would you accept the vaccine for yourself? “Unsure” encompasses responses “Unsure Yes” and “Unsure No.”
Religious affiliation
If a new coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine became available, would you accept the vaccine for yourself? “Unsure” encompasses responses “Unsure Yes” and “Unsure No.”
Primary language
If a new coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine became available, would you accept the vaccine for yourself? “Unsure” encompasses responses “Unsure Yes” and “Unsure No.”
Employment status
If a new coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine became available, would you accept the vaccine for yourself? “Unsure” encompasses responses “Unsure Yes” and “Unsure No.”
Ethnicity
If a new coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine became available, would you accept the vaccine for yourself? “Unsure” encompasses responses “Unsure Yes” and “Unsure No.”
