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Forecasting sub-national trends in COVID-19 vaccine uptake in the UK

Here we predict uptake of the vaccine at unprecedented spatial resolution across the UK using a large-scale survey of over 17,000 individuals. Although the majority of the UK population would likely take the vaccine, there is substantial heterogeneity in uptake intent across the UK.

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Related content

Data Visualisations
Forecasting sub-national trends in COVID-19 vaccine uptake in the UK

In this study, we predict uptake of the COVID-19 vaccine at unprecedented spatial resolution across the UK.

Projects
Public Perceptions and Uptake of the COVID-19 vaccine in Asia-Pacific countries

To identify knowledge gaps, beliefs and attitudes in relation to the COVID-19 pandemic and COVID-19 vaccine acceptance among adults in the Asia-Pacific region, the Vaccine Confidence Project conducted two waves of quantitative research in 2021 and 2022.

Projects
State of Vaccine Confidence in the EU

In 2018, the European Commission engaged the Vaccine Confidence Project to create the first “State of Vaccine Confidence in the EU” report. Since then, the VCP has conducted bi-annual research to map and monitor public attitudes to vaccines across the region and examine trends over time.

virus, covid, science
Projects
Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC) Working Group

The VCP-Africa CDC working group has been conducting quantitative research in multiple waves from 2020 to 2022.

Data Visualisations
The State of Vaccine Confidence, 2016

​​In this study we assessed the overall state of confidence in vaccines among the public in all 27 EU member states.

Data Visualisations
The State of Vaccine Confidence in the EU, 2020

Our 2020 study investigated public perceptions towards the importance, safety, and effectiveness of vaccines as well as the perceptions towards the safety…

Summary

Date:

April 2021

Countries:
  • UK
Topics:
  • Quantitative Research
  • Social
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Sub-National Monitoring
  • COVID-19
  • Drivers of and Barriers to Vaccination
  • Region - Europe
Authors:
  • de Figueiredo, A
Journal:
  • medRxiv

Latest content

Media and commentary
Professor Heidi Larson: Building Bridges of Trust towards Restoring Vaccine Confidence

VCP founder Heidi J. Larson named one of the most dynamic business women shaping the future for her role in building bridges of trust in the fight against misinformation and vaccine hesitancy.

Video and events
Stating The Facts: The Rise of Misinformation and Distrust in Science

In this Global Health Coffee Session at the Harvard Global Health Institute, VCP founder Heidi J. Larson unpacks how misinformation spreads and strategies for rebuilding public trust in public health in a time of doubt.

Publications
Drivers of HPV vaccine hesitancy in New York and Florida

This study aimed to identify drivers of HPV vaccine hesitancy and effective public health interventions to increase HPV vaccination rates in two U.S. states (New York and Florida). The findings provide insights into the impact of demographics, state policies, and vaccine confidence on HPV vaccination.

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